Polymarket Trader

conox

0x904d67f58372387ee83d851785435d0402c8c6f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $306.63
Realized PnL: $203.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 76.4%
Current value: $103.2
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $31.93
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $99.4
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $19.64
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $104.02
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $10.92
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.02

No position

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.52

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.56

Yes position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

Zizou Bergs position

Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Rinky Hijikata

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.49

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.84

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 87% 114.94 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 74% 135.14 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 84% 119.05 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 82.3% 121.56 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 85% 117.65 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

No 78% 64.1 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?

Yes 74% 67.57 shares
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-03?

No 75% 66.67 shares
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?

Yes 72% 69.44 shares
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Rinky Hijikata

Zizou Bergs 73% 68.49 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?

Yes 80% 62.5 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 91% 164.84 shares