Polymarket Trader

Danilz

0x904f03e32f1f59b259958d254650464c408c50c6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.55K
Realized PnL: $10.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.17K
Potential profit: $79.17K
User PnL: -$257.71

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.53K
Potential profit: $40.53K
User PnL: -$536.48

No position

Megaquake before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.18K
Potential profit: $37.18K
User PnL: -$166.44

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $109.01
Potential payout: $18.17K
Potential profit: $18.06K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$132.3

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $328.19
Potential payout: $17.74K
Potential profit: $17.41K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$278.47

Yes position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.74K
Potential profit: $16.74K
User PnL: -$1.83K

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $346.66
Potential payout: $16.2K
Potential profit: $15.85K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$240.12

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.64K
Potential profit: $12.64K
User PnL: -$614.97

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.38K
Potential profit: $11.38K
User PnL: -$671.98

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.22K
Potential profit: $9.22K
User PnL: -$260.83

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.89K
Potential profit: $7.89K
User PnL: -$199.99

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $739.06
Potential payout: $7.39K
Potential profit: $6.65K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$279.48

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 15.4%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $7.23K
Potential profit: $6.12K
Multiplier: 6.51x
User PnL: $827.88

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9K
Potential profit: $6.9K
User PnL: -$1.3K

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.07K
Potential profit: $6.07K
User PnL: -$238.99

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.98K
Potential profit: $5.98K
User PnL: -$871.73

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.98K
Potential profit: $5.98K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.97K
Potential profit: $5.97K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $914.28
Potential payout: $5.54K
Potential profit: $4.63K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$609.49

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.16K
Potential profit: $5.16K
User PnL: -$52.99

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.14K
Potential profit: $5.14K
User PnL: -$25.17

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.86K
Potential profit: $4.86K
User PnL: -$373.52

Yes position

Will McLaren finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.68K
Potential profit: $4.68K
User PnL: -$70.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $792.73

Yes position

Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $784.4

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $708.99

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.35

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.24

Yes position

Doge ETF approved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $436.18

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.54

Yes position

Will Williams record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.28

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.18

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.1

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.32

No position

Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.23

No position

iPhone SE 4 under $500?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.47

Norris position

Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.26

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.33

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.63

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183

Yes position

Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $169.06

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.82

Yes position

Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.61

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 2.2% 454.55 shares
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 2.2% 891.09 shares
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 0.7% 2,266.52 shares
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)

Team Falcons 38% 26.32 shares
Will "Bleed Out" be said during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?

Yes 16.4% 6.11 shares
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 41% 47.56 shares
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 41% 285.37 shares
Will sh1ro have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026

Yes 29.6% 33.75 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 30% 66.67 shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5

Over 54% 18.52 shares
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)

Team Falcons 72% 6.94 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 57% 17.54 shares