Polymarket Trader

EMOSCapital

0x905d32541ded93ae87018e0dab5f4904cbe87981

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $64.24
Realized PnL: -$1.07
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 24.9%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $21.63
Potential profit: $16.26
Multiplier: 4.02x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $18.21
Potential profit: $17.21
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $17.9
Potential profit: $17.56
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $15.57
Potential profit: $14.4
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $13.19
Potential payout: $15.34
Potential profit: $2.15
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $10.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $15.26
Potential profit: $11.75
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $14.28
Potential profit: $10.35
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $13.37
Potential profit: $11.97
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $12.42
Potential profit: $10.12
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $12.08
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $1.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $11.98
Potential profit: $11.91
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $11.61
Potential profit: $10.86
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $11.43
Potential profit: $9.89
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $11.25
Potential profit: $9.73
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $9.44
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $4.31
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $8.96
Potential profit: $4.26
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $8.86
Potential profit: $6.65
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $8.8
Potential profit: $7.73
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $8.35
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $7.78
Potential profit: $4.63
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $7.73
Potential profit: $5.6
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $7.49
Potential profit: $6.03
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $7.38
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$1.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Yes 7% 11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 1?

Yes 8.2% 15.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 2?

Yes 15.6% 11.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 1?

Yes 21% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 1?

Yes 23% 12.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 1?

Yes 7% 10.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?

Yes 30% 6.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 2?

Yes 39% 6.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 1?

Yes 38% 5.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 1?

Yes 17% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 2?

Yes 30% 6.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?

Yes 11% 8.92 shares