No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $18.97
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Polymarket Trader
eromawyn
@jeredric
0x905f4e24eac011bf09e5a1276d84d0912e380730
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.98
- Realized PnL
- $26.17
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $9.41
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Down position
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes 86% 10.66 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 3.5% 10.1 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes 75% 10.67 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 9.9% 10.1 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 75% 10.67 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 88.2% 20 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No 85% 9.41 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 10 shares
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?No 89.6% 5.58 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No 98.2% 10.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 43% 5.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown 48% 10.03 shares