Polymarket Trader

Roegge

0x906ab7a7e7ea5074562bf50ede337c812f7e624c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.39
Realized PnL: $4.11
Win rate: 68.8%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $9.01
Potential profit: $8.13
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $5.84
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.3%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $3.97
Multiplier: 3.01x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will VfB Stuttgart win DFB-Pokal?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.37
Potential profit: $3.37
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $1.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.07

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win DFB-Pokal?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Stuttgart finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 1.37 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 68% 1.47 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 55% 1.82 shares
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 74% 1.35 shares
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.1% 9.01 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.4% 6.49 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 5.95 shares
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?

Yes 74% 1.35 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 1.37 shares
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-23?

Yes 60% 1.65 shares