No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $627.68
- Potential payout
- $628.3
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- User PnL
- $107.25
Polymarket Trader
Railbird
0x906f2454a777600aea6c506247566decef82371a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $7.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $625.89
- Potential profit
- $624.64
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$455.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $574.98
- Potential profit
- $574.98
- User PnL
- -$560.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $518.74
- Potential profit
- $518.74
- User PnL
- -$330.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $513.05
- Potential profit
- $513.05
- User PnL
- -$458.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $453.29
- Potential profit
- $453.29
- User PnL
- -$434.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $452.05
- Potential profit
- $452.05
- User PnL
- -$368.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.91
- Potential profit
- $433.91
- User PnL
- -$389.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $425.3
- Potential profit
- $425.3
- User PnL
- -$367.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $396.21
- Potential profit
- $396.21
- User PnL
- -$256.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $390.89
- Potential profit
- $390.89
- User PnL
- -$285.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $389.81
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $32.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $373.45
- Potential profit
- $373.45
- User PnL
- -$284.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $363.39
- Potential profit
- $363.39
- User PnL
- -$309.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.42
- Potential profit
- $357.42
- User PnL
- -$291.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $355.79
- Potential profit
- $355.79
- User PnL
- -$286.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $355.52
- Potential profit
- $355.52
- User PnL
- -$279.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $355.08
- Potential profit
- $355.08
- User PnL
- -$307.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.2
- Potential profit
- $349.2
- User PnL
- -$240.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.74
- Potential profit
- $344.74
- User PnL
- -$293.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $339.99
- Potential profit
- $339.99
- User PnL
- -$242.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $330.82
- Potential profit
- $330.82
- User PnL
- -$271.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $326.11
- Potential profit
- $326.11
- User PnL
- -$250.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $325.54
- Potential profit
- $325.54
- User PnL
- -$295.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $504.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 12?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31-32°F on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 20?No 55% 6.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 20?No 54% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 21?No 83% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 20?No 85% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 20?No 81% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 21?No 80% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 21?No 79% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 21?No 81% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 21?No 81% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 21?No 92% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 21?No 92% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?No 76% 11 shares