Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $11.52
- Potential payout
- $19.05
- Potential profit
- $7.52
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $3.52
Polymarket Trader
2k94x0jj2ai2
0x9079f5795c09fa714cb01cf0805c2063b34b3be9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.19
- Realized PnL
- $219.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $14.79
- Potential payout
- $17.5
- Potential profit
- $2.71
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $15.3
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.3%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $3.67
- Potential payout
- $4.49
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.61
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.36
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.28
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.05
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.16
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.68
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.98
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.68
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.18
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34.7% 8.65 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 54% 5.56 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 56% 5.36 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 53% 5.66 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes 18% 1.36 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 8.11 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes 32% 5.45 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes 44% 6.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 4.3% 0.12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 4.6% 4.61 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 97.7% 0.69 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 95% 0.73 shares