No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $42.35
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $27.65
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $7.35
Polymarket Trader
0x9085...d602
0x9085a11ceadb37437aae8f8c7f8ca4c370e8d602
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $80.87
- Realized PnL
- -$8.84
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.24
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $16.11
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$2.87
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $8.33
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$7.82
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$9.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 86% 18 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 87% 9 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 75% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 9 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?Yes 6.2% 20 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 16% 13 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.6% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 6.5% 20 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 79% 6 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 21% 5 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 92% 5 shares