Polymarket Trader

dedcenter

0x908e61924de3dda4b1b5befc37016fed13c556d6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.88
Realized PnL: $36.77
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.63
Potential profit: $8.63
User PnL: -$5.44

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $5.58
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88

Yes position

Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 30.2%
Multiplier: 3.31x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.33

Mumbai Indians position

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 54.1% 5.58 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.7% 46.37 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.5% 84.92 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 63% 8.63 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Yes 0.1% 4,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.2% 30.1 shares
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Over 39% 10.26 shares
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

Over 99.9% 5.17 shares
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

Over 29% 5.17 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 47% 10.45 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 17 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 67.92 shares