No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $237.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $262.5
Polymarket Trader
0x90b9d474FbCc5aaaf82089f27Cea1552b72162cB-1776775245148
0x90b9d474fbcc5aaaf82089f27cea1552b72162cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.26K
- Realized PnL
- $89.69
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.12
- Potential profit
- $135.12
- User PnL
- -$93
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.69
- Potential profit
- $80.69
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.5
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.34
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.17
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.81
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$59.33
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 73.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 87.5% 63.29 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90.4% 27.65 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 88.4% 55.69 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 26% 156.25 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84.1% 26.15 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 89.8% 55.69 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 86.8% 60.02 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?No 62% 80.69 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 83.3% 60.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 63.29 shares
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?No 0.2% 503.84 shares