Polymarket Trader

Aurimas1112

0x90be731b60be6948f1aba2138c68b852da83c800

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $625.5
Realized PnL: $5.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$147.24

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $147.21
Potential payout: $754.92
Potential profit: $607.71
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $36.3

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $280
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $197.8

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.22
Potential profit: $200.22
User PnL: -$78.14

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $200.01
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.49
Potential profit: $127.49
User PnL: -$36.15

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.46
Potential profit: $111.46
User PnL: -$20.76

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $29.95

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $98.34
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $52.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $723.39

Yes position

North Korea missile launch by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $591.08

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.53

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.54

Yes position

Cho Tae-yong in jail by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.94

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.69

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.5

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.25

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $210.45

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.11

No position

Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.99

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.06

No position

Lee Jong-seop in jail by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.22

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.65

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Trump" or "President" 20+ times during remarks in NC on September 24?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174

Yes position

Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $168.51

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $163.04

Yes position

LA curfew enacted by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.41

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152

Yes position

Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.92

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $148.14

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.2

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?

Yes 28% 90.48 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 45% 165 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 54% 100.21 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 99.6% 93.74 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 62% 100 shares
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 56% 5 shares
US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Yes 28% 42.6 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 53% 15 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 45% 5 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 67% 61.99 shares
US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Yes 23.4% 140 shares
US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Yes 23.2% 141.31 shares