Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $682
- Potential payout
- $124K
- Potential profit
- $123.32K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$155.12
Polymarket Trader
pmwatcher
@polymwatcher
0x90bfc858ddb497e6208a92dce15cfe9a480d3348
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.93K
- Realized PnL
- $18.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.95K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $250
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.75K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.95K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.95K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $98.45K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$149.9
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $350
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.65K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $66.67K
- Potential profit
- $65.57K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $100
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $16.42
- Potential payout
- $32.83K
- Potential profit
- $32.82K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$521.99
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $10.02
- Potential payout
- $20.04K
- Potential profit
- $20.03K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$335.95
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $450
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.55K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $19.71K
- Potential profit
- $18.18K
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- -$262.52
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.63K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $860.22
- Potential payout
- $4.65K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$89.48
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $375.25
- Potential payout
- $987.5
- Potential profit
- $612.25
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $79
No position
Jonathan Majors as Kang?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Current value
- $727.38
- Potential payout
- $805.96
- Potential profit
- $78.58
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $48.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $551.7
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- $18.9
No position
Ledger IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $471.82
- Potential payout
- $539.22
- Potential profit
- $67.4
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$28.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.56K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Chirayu Rana sued?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $781.29
Yes position
Will there be 1+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $349.36
Yes position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.63
Yes position
Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during the Black History Month reception?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Hawks
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.95
Seahawks position
49ers vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.6
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.71
South Carolina position
South Carolina vs. Texas A&M
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $245.07
No position
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
Girl position
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.54
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.01
No position
Will Kenny Dillingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.45
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.92
No position
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $217.38
Yes position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $214.67
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $196.71
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Yes 14.3% 400 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 16% 625 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.4% 836.7 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.4% 874.88 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 1.7% 297.89 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.3% 9,708.74 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 15,440.59 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 84,559.41 shares
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 24,000 shares
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 100,000 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 59,528.99 shares
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 66,666.67 shares