Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $4.73K
- Potential payout
- $9.26K
- Potential profit
- $4.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Polymarket Trader
Evilfrosty
0x90d10025fe1358b862dff07ad500ec45a5890b61
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.73K
- Realized PnL
- $560.25
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.41
- Potential profit
- $132.41
- User PnL
- -$96.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.18
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.46
Yes position
Jaylen Brown 2024 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.66
Yes position
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.29
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.23
Carter position
Nic Carter vs. Coty Kuhn: Who will win?
Ends Jul 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25
Yes position
Will Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?
Ends Aug 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
Will the USA win Gold in Women's Basketball?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Chestnut position
Who will eat more Hot Dogs in 10 minutes?
Ends Sep 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Yes position
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Kamala announces VP pick in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the U.S. win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Oregon St position
Will Oregon beat Oregon State?
Ends Sep 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Reform wins between 15% and 19% of votes?
Ends Jul 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Notre Dame beat Purdue by 10 or more points?
Ends Sep 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?
Ends Jun 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
England position
Euro Finals: Spain vs. England
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.7
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.85
Yes position
Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 73% 63.92 shares
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 73% 68.49 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 59% 228.49 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 59% 169.49 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 59% 169.49 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 59% 169.49 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 59% 169.49 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 60% 166.67 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 60% 166.67 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 59.8% 836.33 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 59.8% 835.42 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 55.5% 1,800.5 shares