Polymarket Trader

Grinkaus

0x90d89cdcecb52b507ddb58327d58e5fb7079885a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $213.73
Realized PnL: -$75.96
Win rate: 82.6%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $189
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $30.73
Multiplier: 8.20x
User PnL: -$23.24

Yes position

Will Arsenal beat Atalanta?

Ends Sep 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.42
Potential profit: $34.42
User PnL: -$18.24

Yes position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $20.46
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $12.54
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$10.23

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$27.06

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.51
Potential profit: $25.51
User PnL: -$0.63

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.96
Potential profit: $10.96
User PnL: -$3.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.69

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.41

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

No position

Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

Yes position

Seeker FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.63

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

ETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$74.06

Yes position

Will Manchester City beat Inter Milan?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$90

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

47% 16.74 shares
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

3.2% 61.39 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

16.9% 23.05 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

8.2% 59.01 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

36.5% 13.42 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05?

15.3% 44.55 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05?

16% 30.44 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

50% 59.1 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Down 37% 25.68 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Down 13% 7.64 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Down 23% 4.28 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Down 36% 13.52 shares