Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $30.48
- Potential payout
- $169.83
- Potential profit
- $139.35
- Multiplier
- 5.57x
- User PnL
- -$69.52
Polymarket Trader
BuFu
0x90e22b5a5b4adce55aac43a6b9ad68d3db401350
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $144.25
- Realized PnL
- $422.23
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $113.77
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $31.16
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $13.77
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.8
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.29
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.39
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.25
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up 80% 125 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes 58.9% 169.83 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k 52% 192.31 shares
- Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes 64% 156.25 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 69% 144.93 shares
- S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Yes 28.7% 348.8 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 74% 135.14 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 126.58 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 69% 144.93 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes 46% 217.39 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes 41.2% 218.29 shares
- US-China trade deal before June?No 76% 131.58 shares