Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $29.02
- Potential payout
- $659.51
- Potential profit
- $630.49
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- $9.02
Polymarket Trader
As2111
0x90ed00b05063b3e45abea79c9a5359b81a75eecb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $265.4
- Realized PnL
- $1.98K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $113.85
- Potential payout
- $615.38
- Potential profit
- $501.54
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $33.85
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $41.7
- Potential payout
- $490.59
- Potential profit
- $448.89
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$39.5
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $48.33
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $118.33
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $18.33
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $134.17
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.96
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.48
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.07
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.88
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.85
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.93
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.38
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.49
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.87
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.77
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.6
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.25
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.93
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.32
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 18% 166.67 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes 12% 166.67 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes 13% 230.77 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes 13% 384.62 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 3% 659.5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 17% 294.71 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 15% 557.52 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 11.4% 398.92 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 17.4% 287.82 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 15.6% 642.3 shares