Polymarket Trader

geelaka-377

0x90f0df4a0d37bd8b516384f8e2504c50356e9526

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.9
Realized PnL: $28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.84
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $331.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $284.14
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $221
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $221
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $136.07
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$3.21

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $123.56
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.39
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.54
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $61.59
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $57.74
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.23
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $45.79
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.65
Potential profit: $44.65
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $40.78
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.02
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $30.54
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $7.93
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $26.55
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $29.67
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $26.39
Potential profit: $25.5
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$5.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.54

No position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 0.4% 1,225.27 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Yes 14% 35.71 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 22.3% 22.39 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 24.4% 20.51 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 40 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 19.23 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 16.13 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 14.93 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 12.35 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 9.26 shares