No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $3.12K
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $73.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.84
Polymarket Trader
ineedmassage
0x90f7180856b033ea45200d892a7bc49fd1662501
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.86K
- Realized PnL
- $20.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $583.01
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $656.66
No position
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $33.62
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $89.29
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $287.61
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $840.29
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $127.58
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $686.8
- Potential payout
- $988.34
- Potential profit
- $301.54
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$23.96
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $257.92
- Potential payout
- $937.88
- Potential profit
- $679.96
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$79.95
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $359.57
- Potential payout
- $370.69
- Potential profit
- $11.12
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $33.05
No position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $344.1
- Potential payout
- $366.45
- Potential profit
- $22.35
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$6.82
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $234.68
- Potential payout
- $293.35
- Potential profit
- $58.67
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $279.71
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $10.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.49
No position
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $233.55
- Potential payout
- $284.82
- Potential profit
- $51.27
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $46.52
No position
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $252.72
- Potential payout
- $262.98
- Potential profit
- $10.26
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.78
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $256.94
- Potential payout
- $259.01
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- User PnL
- $21.24
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $188.61
- Potential payout
- $240.26
- Potential profit
- $51.66
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $8.66
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $206.83
- Potential payout
- $211.27
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $65.06
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $187
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $192.79
- Potential payout
- $196.02
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $180.85
- Potential payout
- $184.35
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.72
No position
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $123.52
- Potential payout
- $154.02
- Potential profit
- $30.5
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $30.99
No position
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $136.22
- Potential payout
- $144.91
- Potential profit
- $8.69
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $138.5
- Potential payout
- $140.47
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $16.52
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $103.94
- Potential payout
- $134.99
- Potential profit
- $31.05
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$6.48
No position
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $119.38
- Potential payout
- $127.68
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $18.51
No position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $106.65
- Potential payout
- $117.85
- Potential profit
- $11.2
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $18.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $952.28
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $928.65
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $877.47
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $793.1
Yes position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $621.42
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.66
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.99
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.68
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.15
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $435.01
No position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.93
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.88
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.51
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.93
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.2
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.78
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 23% 10 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 15% 122.65 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 14% 172.1 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 14% 823.15 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 58% 237.2 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 97.3% 3,193.4 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No 80% 293.35 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 57% 10 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 57% 322.51 shares
- Another US debt downgrade before 2027?No 81% 9.46 shares
- Another US debt downgrade before 2027?No 82.2% 78.89 shares
- Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 92% 144.91 shares