Yes position
Will Kamala lead by 1.1-1.5 or more points on September 20?
Ends Sep 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
massier
0x90fb234808675dd9dd1fc4da5f5bf2be646a4aa8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.15
- Realized PnL
- -$18.17
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Kamala lead by 2.1-2.5 or more points on September 20?
Ends Sep 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Trump in jail before election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.48
- Potential payout
- $10.48
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $10.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $10.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.58
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will there be another debate?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.06
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Iran military response by Friday?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Elon x Kamala Harris interview in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Biden pardon Trump?Yes 5.6% 17.86 shares
- Will there be another debate?Yes 33% 6.06 shares
- Will Kamala lead by 1.1-1.5 or more points on September 20?Yes 1.5% 33.33 shares
- Will Kamala lead by 2.1-2.5 or more points on September 20?Yes 19% 10.53 shares
- Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?No 98.3% 10.17 shares
- Will Trump drop out of presidential race?Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
- Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?No 17% 11.76 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes 4.1% 24.39 shares
- Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?No 17% 11.76 shares
- Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?No 98.4% 10.16 shares
- Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?No 97.4% 5.13 shares