Polymarket Trader

jayhawkjeff

0x910a9e03ab78ca08324ea381f3d125828da391a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.65K
Realized PnL: $6.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Over position

Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.44K

Over position

Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $945
Potential profit: $945
User PnL: -$302.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Take the oil" or "Keep the oil" during events with Rutte?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $801
Potential profit: $801
User PnL: -$496.62

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $778
Potential profit: $778
User PnL: -$272.3

Jacksonville State Gamecocks position

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $769
Potential payout: $769
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $116.23

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $484.06
Potential payout: $677
Potential profit: $192.95
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $71.09

Portsmouth FC position

Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $663
Potential payout: $663
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $106.08

OpenAI position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639
Potential profit: $639
User PnL: -$69.26

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $97.96
Potential payout: $632
Potential profit: $534.04
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$154.84

EC Juventude position

Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $303
Potential payout: $606
Potential profit: $303
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 16, 6AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $593
Potential profit: $593
User PnL: -$296.5

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $541
Potential profit: $541
User PnL: -$91.97

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $539
Potential profit: $539
User PnL: -$59.29

Under position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $452
Potential profit: $452
User PnL: -$311.88

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396
Potential profit: $396
User PnL: -$273.24

Yes position

Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $600M and $650M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395
Potential profit: $395
User PnL: -$67.15

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $359
Potential payout: $359
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $216.84

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$39.6

Over position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312
Potential profit: $312
User PnL: -$106.08

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 18, 2PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235
Potential profit: $235
User PnL: -$117.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202
Potential profit: $202
User PnL: -$42.42

No position

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $178.85
Potential payout: $192
Potential profit: $13.15
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $35.04

Eastern Illinois Panthers position

Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $171
Potential payout: $171
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $36.08

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $157.98
Potential profit: $153.87
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$70.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $809.9

No position

Will Trump say "Pipeline" or "Road" during Taoiseach events?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $670.24

Yes position

Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $524.4

Yes position

Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $444.38

Yes position

Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Producer of Documentary Film at the 37th PGA Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $295.68

Yes position

Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $700M and $750M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $294.48

Yes position

Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.07

No position

Will Team Spirit qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.24

Yes position

Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.46

No position

Will Artemis II launch by February 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.03

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 4AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.32

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.06

Yes position

Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $213.33

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.73

Yes position

Will "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $207.06

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $185.72

Yes position

Will "Frankenstein" win Best Production Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.26

Yes position

Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $167.52

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.7

Yes position

Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $146.96

Yes position

Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.05

Yes position

Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.08

Over position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.04

Yes position

Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $108.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

No 82% 953 shares
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 61% 677 shares
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

No 81% 953 shares
Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

No 96.2% 712 shares
Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

No 96.1% 279 shares
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

Yes 14% 35 shares
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

Yes 14% 41 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?

No 78% 876 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?

No 78% 876 shares
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

OpenAI 10.5% 577 shares
Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

No 88% 991 shares
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

No 48% 678 shares