Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Current value
- $192.66
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $937.29
- Multiplier
- 5.87x
- User PnL
- -$7.34
Polymarket Trader
hdl
0x9110811725b9c0244334586d44136aeff9d24a41
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $699.78
- Realized PnL
- $3.42K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $195.45
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $713.64
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.54
Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $5.48
- Potential payout
- $353.49
- Potential profit
- $348.01
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$14.52
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275.09
- Potential profit
- $275.09
- User PnL
- -$19.26
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.12
- Potential profit
- $256.12
- User PnL
- -$97.52
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.3%
- Current value
- $78.24
- Potential payout
- $119.9
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$21.76
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $106.38
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.38
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $100.39
- Potential payout
- $106.06
- Potential profit
- $5.67
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $21.19
- Potential payout
- $33.9
- Potential profit
- $12.71
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.05
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.24
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.1
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.1
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.81
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.32
Yes position
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.74
No position
Will no leader be out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.96
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.31
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.37
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.34
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $21.74
Yes position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.39
Yes position
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$7.25
No position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.64
No position
Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.14
Yes position
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$148.66
Yes position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$160.49
No position
Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.7% 1,129.94 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.4% 119.9 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 94.3% 106.06 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 22% 909.09 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 91% 281.69 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 98.9% 307.69 shares
- Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.5% 308.28 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 64% 144.92 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 5.7% 353.49 shares
- Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 59% 33.9 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 69% 144.93 shares
- Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?Yes 62% 48.39 shares