Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $75.57
- Potential payout
- $4.88K
- Potential profit
- $4.8K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$104.43
Polymarket Trader
askolein
0x912732e956951cd5215dfaa84948f7b1526e0557
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $768.34
- Realized PnL
- $64.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $540.83
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$109.17
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $151.94
- Potential payout
- $595.83
- Potential profit
- $443.9
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $8.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.48
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $13.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 24% 595.83 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 23% 652.17 shares
- Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?No 76.6% 314.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.5% 53.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 63% 53.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 37% 90.9 shares
- Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?No 72.2% 23.95 shares
- Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?No 72.2% 290.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp 56% 16.73 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 28% 357.14 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 6.4% 780.87 shares