Polymarket Trader

eva0755

@longjie66

0x9142b18a3c4a6afcb65d228bb89894442b58bb39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.01
Realized PnL: $21.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $10.75
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $5.08
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.22
Potential profit: $5.22
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.37
Potential profit: $4.37
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $3.22
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.25
Potential profit: $3.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.99
Potential profit: $2.99
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $2.67
User PnL: -$2.51

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $1.3
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.18

Yes position

Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 56% 3.57 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

No 61% 3.28 shares
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

No 95% 2.11 shares
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?

No 98% 2.04 shares
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

No 97.7% 2.05 shares
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?

No 97% 2.06 shares
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?

No 95.8% 2.09 shares
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

No 95% 2.11 shares
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

No 75% 2.67 shares
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

No 93% 2.15 shares
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

No 82% 2.44 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 67% 2.99 shares