Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999
- Potential profit
- $999
- User PnL
- -$199.8
Polymarket Trader
chessqueen
0x91461eb306ac9b78d76484af07007edbbbea335a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $989.18
- Realized PnL
- $931.35
- Win rate
- 85%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $466.67
- Potential profit
- $466.67
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Canada recession in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $466.2
- Potential profit
- $466.2
- User PnL
- -$136.98
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $399.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $13.8
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $205.26
- Potential payout
- $350.88
- Potential profit
- $145.61
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $5.26
25 bps cut position
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$39.5
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $2.97 and $3.00 on September 10 at 12AM ET?
Ends Sep 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257
- Potential profit
- $257
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $2.91 and $2.94 on September 10 at 12AM ET?
Ends Sep 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $162.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $37.02
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $115,000 on September 12 at 12AM ET?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$91
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $95.39
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13.2
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $69.97
- Potential payout
- $88.57
- Potential profit
- $18.6
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.7
- Potential profit
- $79.7
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $68.97
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $55.77
- Potential payout
- $59.55
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.61
- Potential profit
- $51.61
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.8
Yes position
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.09
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.63
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.18
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $44
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.35
No position
ECB rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.99
Yes position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.99
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $2.94 and $2.97 on September 10 at 12AM ET?
Ends Sep 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
No position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.03
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.09
Yes position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$81.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 82.2% 99.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 100 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 57% 350.88 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 91.6% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 80% 62.5 shares
- Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?No 9% 166.67 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 96.5% 400 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 36% 14.52 shares
- Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Yes 12.5% 79.7 shares
- Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?Yes 5.8% 257 shares
- 'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?25 bps cut 13% 150 shares