Polymarket Trader

0x914d521E3F41C4F287D40B0771FfFc0252ea10D0-1757704943828

0x914d521e3f41c4f287d40b0771fffc0252ea10d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $193.39
Realized PnL: $248.71
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $193.39
Potential payout: $286.51
Potential profit: $93.12
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $45.39

Yes position

Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.96
Potential profit: $110.96
User PnL: -$93

Yes position

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.71
Potential profit: $100.71
User PnL: -$74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.73

Yes position

Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.95

Yes position

Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.21

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

No position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.12

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.17

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.11

No position

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.46

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.32

No position

Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.06

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1.05

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 81% 85.69 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Vitality 60.8% 65.99 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Vitality 63% 15.87 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Vitality 57% 8.77 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Vitality 51% 19.61 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Vitality 69% 21.74 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 33% 28.89 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 58% 8.62 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 74% 6.76 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 74% 13.51 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 62% 29.03 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 57% 17.54 shares