Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.96
- Potential profit
- $38.96
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
Rider20
0x9167f5fda9cd1fe739510ff9feaa912e07576345
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.7
- Realized PnL
- $3.1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.46
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.81
- Potential profit
- $22.81
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.17
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "WWE: Unreal: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $7.32
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
No position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran strike on US military by February 28?No 92% 10.87 shares
- Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?No 84% 20 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 12% 25 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes 1.7% 100 shares
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?Yes 5% 20 shares
- NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 10% 30 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 12% 25 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 27.1% 73.8 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No 90% 22.22 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?Yes 87.7% 22.81 shares