No position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
bvfxj
0x917570c5e95d2c488468a61e222dd762bd3af56b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.23
- Realized PnL
- $4.81
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.28
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?
Ends Jul 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Draper position
US Open: De Minaur vs. Draper
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during July Press Conference?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
De Minaur position
US Open: De Minaur vs. Draper
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No 55% 1.82 shares
- Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Yes 57% 1.75 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?No 54.9% 1.82 shares
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during July Press Conference?Yes 53% 1.89 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes 50% 2 shares
- Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?No 55% 1.82 shares
- Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?No 56% 1.79 shares
- Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No 43.3% 2.31 shares
- Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes 51.7% 1.93 shares
- Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?No 49% 2.04 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 43.9% 2.28 shares
- US Open: De Minaur vs. DraperDraper 47% 2.13 shares