Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $132.23
- Potential payout
- $12.59K
- Potential profit
- $12.46K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$153.33
Polymarket Trader
0x91784d82fbe4543459ee85fc9809be185d70a2b
0x91784d82fbe4543459ee85fc9809be185d70a2b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $309.08
- Realized PnL
- $38.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $62.41
- Potential payout
- $10.4K
- Potential profit
- $10.34K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$140.24
Yes position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $114.43
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$149.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97K
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran by Monday?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $112,000 on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 16?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.48
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $912.58
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.17
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $903.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 3,064 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 43% 422.63 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.5% 20,000 shares
- Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?Yes 0.6% 1,860.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 4.6% 0.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 5.1% 1,748.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 5% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 26% 825.77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 26% 2,000 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes 65.8% 676.47 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 5.7% 1,218.39 shares