Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $149.12
- Potential payout
- $164.77
- Potential profit
- $15.65
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.12
Polymarket Trader
Emilydf
@MannySolo3
0x918d1822a3f6840e184e831aa1884cbfea1ca535
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $185.8
- Realized PnL
- $36.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.25
- Potential profit
- $81.25
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.71
- Potential profit
- $25.71
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.39
- Potential profit
- $22.39
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $18.1
- Potential payout
- $19.35
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $18.59
- Potential payout
- $19.27
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 93% 19.35 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 164.77 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 19.27 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 27.2% 45.24 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 94% 118.09 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 16% 81.25 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No 99.8% 112.09 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 35.4% 25.06 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes 33% 31.57 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 66.7% 45.25 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes 76% 31.58 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 96.2% 16.41 shares