Polymarket Trader

jsmp1

0x919d214d20f8454eedb576aec5cd237330b660e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.53K
Realized PnL: $54.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.21K
Potential profit: $56.21K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.1K
Potential profit: $32.1K
User PnL: -$232.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.21K
Potential profit: $26.21K
User PnL: -$142.11

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.5K
Potential profit: $11.5K
User PnL: -$654.77

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8K
Potential profit: $9.8K
User PnL: -$4.6K

No position

Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.32K
Potential profit: $8.32K
User PnL: -$1.75K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $7.8K
Potential payout: $8.22K
Potential profit: $410.78
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $305.72

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $6.98K
Potential payout: $7.23K
Potential profit: $253.02
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $98.43

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.2K
Potential profit: $6.2K
User PnL: -$1.47K

Yes position

Will DOGE balance the budget in 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $5.7K
User PnL: -$342

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Predators

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $5.3K
User PnL: -$2.92K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $5.01K
User PnL: -$645.4

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1.44K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.74K
Potential profit: $4.74K
User PnL: -$392.51

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $4.65K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $547.33

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.3K
Potential profit: $4.3K
User PnL: -$2.33K

No position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $4.2K
User PnL: -$2.15K

Yes position

Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.05K
Potential profit: $4.05K
User PnL: -$2.44K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$477.99

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$472.36

Yes position

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $3.63K
User PnL: -$1.16K

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$1.14K

Yes position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$315

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $3.17K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $332.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $237.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.81K

Yes position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.85K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22K

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Notre Dame Fighting Irish position

Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

No position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

No position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Imperial position

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs The Huns Esports (BO3)

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Harris position

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $993.5

Oregon position

Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $960.98

Under position

Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 142.5

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $960

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

No 90% 172.56 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 21% 2,599.96 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 38% 146.42 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 93.4% 321.43 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 93.7% 200 shares
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

No 89.5% 600 shares
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 97.3% 1,000 shares
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 97.4% 1,000 shares
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 95% 1,000 shares
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 67% 300 shares
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 67% 400 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 92% 600 shares