Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $325
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.68K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$680.14
Polymarket Trader
ForcaoDaRaia
@ForcaoDaRaia
0x919eeff303fc14ddd28cb323e2032a8949e8d915
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $361.25
- Realized PnL
- $4.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$30.24
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $36.25
- Potential payout
- $250.01
- Potential profit
- $213.75
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$50.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.09
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.88
Yes position
James Comey indicted before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.76
Yes position
US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.77
Yes position
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.51
Yes position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.31
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.52
Yes position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.94
Yes position
Will Trump sue the BBC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.76
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.78
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.01
Yes position
North Korea missile test by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.16
Yes position
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.56
Yes position
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.82
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.31
Yes position
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mental Institution" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.14
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.96
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.88
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.7
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.17
No position
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.8
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes 2.5% 183.23 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes 15.9% 316.77 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 9% 249.97 shares
- Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?Yes 11.2% 250 shares
- Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?Yes 16% 125 shares
- Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- US bank failure by March 31?Yes 27% 125 shares
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes 46% 125 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 18.28 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 27% 18.28 shares
- US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes 30% 16.14 shares
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes 29.3% 125 shares