Polymarket Trader

SmertelniyDollar

0x91a534e3596e0f13a325034a29c976921236ef2e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.25
Realized PnL: $1.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$37.02

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $2.48K
User PnL: -$34.6

No position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $24.7
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$122.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$9.53

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$282.66

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.88

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$78.8

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$14.99

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$11.15

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$84.25

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $996.5
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $917.2
Potential profit: $912.15
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$39.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.76

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.5

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.5

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.65

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.81

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.47

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.86

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.62

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $48.9

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.27

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.42

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.2

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.14

No position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.07

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.59

Yes position

Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.08

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.94

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.16

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

No one announced as next James Bond?

No 5% 594.6 shares
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 2,500 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 101.01 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 454.54 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 62.5 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 500 shares
No one announced as next James Bond?

No 9% 500 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.6% 185.18 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 119.04 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 666.66 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 384.61 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 833.33 shares