Polymarket Trader

ster

0x91b906c731d8096986fddb089739bfb339dcdcd8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.41K
Realized PnL: $32.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Another commercial airline evacuation before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$91.83

No position

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $910.63
Potential payout: $924.5
Potential profit: $13.87
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $145.79

No position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $183.6
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $176.4
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$27.27

No position

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $230.28
Potential payout: $247.61
Potential profit: $17.33
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $6.76

Yes position

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $232.93
Potential profit: $231.88
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$24.89

Yes position

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.3
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$13.3

No position

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.7%
Current value: $75.6
Potential payout: $82.49
Potential profit: $6.89
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.21

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $6.47
Potential payout: $31.58
Potential profit: $25.1
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$0.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.1K

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $979.2

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $626.29

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $594.31

No position

Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.34

Yes position

ChatGPT o3 released today?

Ends Apr 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.56

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.61

No position

Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.47

No position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.92

Yes position

Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $217.93

Yes position

Will Xington Zhao win the 2025 World Snooker Championship?

Ends May 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.86

No position

OpenAI social app in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $189.7

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $187.38

No position

Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.62

No position

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.66

No position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.27

Yes position

Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $139.74

No position

Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.69

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.3

Yes position

Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 22?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.47

No position

Will Elon talk more than Trump during Hannity interview?

Ends Feb 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.38

Yes position

Will Joe Biden make an appearance by October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.99

No position

New X CEO announced by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.41

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Yes 13% 216.19 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Yes 53% 150 shares
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Yes 30% 130 shares
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Yes 39% 250 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Yes 75.9% 427.26 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Yes 43.3% 130.75 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Yes 34.3% 703.78 shares
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

No 85.1% 193.06 shares
German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025?

Yes 1% 503.05 shares
Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?

Yes 9.7% 525.43 shares
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

No 89.5% 247.61 shares
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?

Yes 81% 2.38 shares