Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $102.3
- Potential payout
- $821.65
- Potential profit
- $719.36
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- $2.3
Polymarket Trader
0x91c768F34430De24DaFd3872F9CEb98606F3B70B-1772356264422
0x91c768f34430de24dafd3872f9ceb98606f3b70b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $729.29
- Realized PnL
- $736.62
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $53.08
- Potential payout
- $816.57
- Potential profit
- $763.49
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $72.3
- Potential payout
- $719.42
- Potential profit
- $647.12
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$27.7
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $168.43
- Potential payout
- $505.05
- Potential profit
- $336.62
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $68.43
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.4%
- Current value
- $169.22
- Potential payout
- $419.38
- Potential profit
- $250.16
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- $119.22
Yes position
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.53
- Potential profit
- $316.53
- User PnL
- -$94.96
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $33.46
- Potential payout
- $230.77
- Potential profit
- $197.31
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$26.54
Yes position
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $56.73
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $135.58
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $6.73
Yes position
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $169.49
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.77
- Potential profit
- $135.77
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $61.67
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $49.44
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $11.67
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $12.11
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $93.16
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$27.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.72
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.29
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.85
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.27
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7% 816.57 shares
- Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 12.2% 821.65 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.8% 505.05 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.9% 719.42 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No 14% 214.29 shares
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?Yes 3.7% 547.92 shares
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?Yes 21.3% 140.85 shares
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?Yes 44.5% 112.47 shares
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?Yes 8% 143.67 shares
- Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 11.8% 169.49 shares
- Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 15% 333.33 shares