Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $411.96
- Potential payout
- $22.27K
- Potential profit
- $21.86K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$88.63
Polymarket Trader
ddw2222
0x91ca1a145b740e62bc521cfb4a6da73d4e260957
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $910.12
- Realized PnL
- -$229
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $498.16
- Potential payout
- $7.66K
- Potential profit
- $7.17K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $38.32
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $58.14
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.44
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.05
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.79
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$39.94
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.44
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$77.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes 6% 6,664 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 1.8% 277.32 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 3,206.66 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes 6% 1,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.4% 10,837.52 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.5% 10,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.6% 2,652.15 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.7% 2,857.14 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 1% 1,218.91 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 1.1% 2,437.82 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.9% 658.34 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.9% 4,087.75 shares