Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $16.39
- Potential payout
- $273.25
- Potential profit
- $256.85
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$24.6
Polymarket Trader
0x91D6aCb76c177D68150647cC2588F378e7cCea23-1757715063334
0x91d6acb76c177d68150647cc2588f378e7ccea23
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.82
- Realized PnL
- -$55.43
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $196.38
- Potential profit
- $195.4
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.02
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.76
- Potential profit
- $147.76
- User PnL
- -$99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $34.33
- Potential profit
- $33.6
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.62
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $22.03
- Multiplier
- 8.40x
- User PnL
- $1.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.06
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $8.89
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $7.02
- Potential payout
- $10.71
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $4.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10.71
- Potential profit
- $10.71
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $10.22
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.59
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $2.86
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $6.23
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $7.88
- Potential profit
- $6.19
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Over position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $32.08
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
US bank failure by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.05
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $6.93
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.41
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.08
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.37
No position
Will Israel strike Syria by September 30?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$62.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 3?Yes 3% 3.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 3?Yes 80.4% 11.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 3?Yes 1.3% 79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 3?Yes 18.2% 165 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 3?Yes 2.7% 111.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 3?Yes 9.6% 104.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 3?Yes 4.9% 12.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 3?Yes 46% 71.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 4?Yes 2.9% 34.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 4?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 4?Yes 1.8% 34.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?Yes 5% 11.76 shares