o2satoshi

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.41
Potential profit: $40.41
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $25.13
Potential profit: $23.44
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $11.71
Potential payout: $23.65
Potential profit: $11.94
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$6.33

No position

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.63
Potential profit: $12.63
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.01
Potential profit: $11.01
User PnL: -$9.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $10.75
User PnL: -$5.16

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.83
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $9.9
User PnL: -$1

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Future perform "PLUTOSKI" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.54
Potential profit: $7.54
User PnL: -$6.41

Prizmic position

Set Handicap: Prizmic (-2.5) vs Walton (+2.5)

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.11
Potential profit: $7.11
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.06
Potential profit: $7.06
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $6.94
User PnL: -$4.51

No position

Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.68
Potential profit: $6.68
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.65
Potential profit: $6.65
User PnL: -$5.59

Milwaukee Brewers position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.55
Potential payout: $6.55
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.53
Potential profit: $6.53
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.52
Potential profit: $6.52
User PnL: -$6.13

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $6.49
User PnL: -$2.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.22

Matteo Arnaldi position

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Over position

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

No position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 7?