Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 12PM ET
Ends Aug 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.01K
- Potential profit
- $20.01K
- User PnL
- -$10.01K
Polymarket Trader
MegaTheGabriell
0x920a65c53c3d2a2aa086c8adc9e986d0b3c8cb78
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $34.09K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.48K
- Potential profit
- $8.48K
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- User PnL
- -$78.48
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$390
No position
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.3
- Potential profit
- $370.3
- User PnL
- -$246.2
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.04
- Potential profit
- $157.04
- User PnL
- -$11.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.2K
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.6K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
No position
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $574.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.35
Yes position
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $497.43
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $414.68
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.45
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $311.66
No position
Will Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.2
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.76
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 30 and 40 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.61
Yes position
Will 51+ senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.95
No position
Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$270
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$395.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No 66.6% 81.72 shares
- Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No 67.1% 108.36 shares
- Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No 65.9% 135 shares
- Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Yes 95.1% 198.72 shares
- Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Yes 94.2% 5,855.61 shares
- Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Yes 82.8% 2,397.66 shares
- Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Yes 79.4% 66.67 shares
- Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Yes 77.2% 5 shares
- Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Yes 77.3% 8,335.58 shares
- Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Yes 75.2% 300 shares
- Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Yes 79.9% 7.21 shares
- Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Yes 80.1% 8.43 shares