Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $24.28
- Potential payout
- $26.01
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Polymarket Trader
Deerwoodd
0x920dc08607ae5627efa9886602aa8e543240a608
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.28
- Realized PnL
- $8.3
- Win rate
- 84.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Team Liquid position
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$15.18
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.26
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96.1% 26.01 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 27.71 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No 99.6% 24.14 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?No 99.4% 24.14 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.1% 25.21 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.2% 25.21 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes 94% 24.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 24.21 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 24.21 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 23.95 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96% 23.96 shares
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Liquid 66% 23 shares