Polymarket Trader

as81119

0x920e7e3c5cf3d1e901c1f6ea4b3742642ecf001e

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.36K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.16K
User PnL: -$1.99K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $351.2
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $59.96

Yes position

Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.88
Potential profit: $89.88
User PnL: -$18.93

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.4
Potential profit: $20.4
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.65
Potential profit: $4.65
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $4.07
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.81
Potential profit: $2.81
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $2.81
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 82.3% 2.6 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 76% 1,315.79 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 76% 394.74 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 76.8% 2.6 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 76% 2.63 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 25.1% 4.07 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 47% 2.81 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Yes 21.3% 44.94 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Yes 20.8% 44.94 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 72.1% 2,000.62 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 73% 934 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 75% 65.79 shares