Polymarket Trader

neoniks

0x9214dab53f22dbd2808e9439196a855e6d5ea803

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.21K
Realized PnL: $5.61K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $794.87
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $487.18
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$205.13

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $414.7
Potential payout: $696.97
Potential profit: $282.27
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $14.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $873.31

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $560

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.48

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.51

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.52

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.17

No position

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.91

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.78

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.83

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.37

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.47

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 12.5m?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.99

Yes position

Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.8

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.13

Yes position

Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19m?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.66

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$28.18

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$134.74

Yes position

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$144.15

Yes position

Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$172.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

Yes 25.2% 138.49 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 2.1% 1,053.69 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 3.2% 80 shares
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

Yes 45.6% 138.49 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 51% 110.13 shares
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Yes 81.1% 246.61 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Yes 78.5% 127.36 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

Yes 1.2% 957.26 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Yes 84% 1,785.71 shares
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?

Yes 60% 203.33 shares
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Yes 43.5% 454.75 shares
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?

Yes 76.1% 65.05 shares