Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Arabellan
0x9217ab0b719d4f24d9bad55eebd5a59b35b1ea19
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.41
- Realized PnL
- -$21.63
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$565
Pittsburgh Pirates position
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.83
- Potential profit
- $32.83
- User PnL
- -$20.69
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $20.41
- Potential payout
- $21.9
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$5.89
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$24.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95.9% 21.9 shares
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreYes 51% 1,107.84 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 81% 18.52 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.5% 71.68 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83.7% 71.68 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 61.9% 114.35 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 86.6% 114.36 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 78.8% 126.97 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 75.6% 126.97 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No 91% 109.43 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?No 89.5% 109.44 shares