Polymarket Trader

leCommissaire

0x9238743eeba8bbfe9e85ac7ba2e1e3d77877b73e

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $11.64K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $4.12K
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $86.32
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $142.3

No position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $3.34K
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $30.36
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $25.84
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $7.81

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $123.46
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$23.15

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $351.06
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $81.81

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $874.92
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $492.15
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $156.71

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $39.37
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$14.52

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $138.78
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $928.78
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$130.53

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $994.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $994.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $994.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $993.49
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $360
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $540
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$58.89

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $126
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $774
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $888.01
Potential profit: $886.68
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$22.55

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $749.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.58

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $684.25
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.6%
Current value: $159.58
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $490.43
Multiplier: 4.07x
User PnL: -$31.47

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $169.14
Potential payout: $638.28
Potential profit: $469.14
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$7.57

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.44
Potential payout: $604.99
Potential profit: $599.55
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$111.2

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $51
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $549
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$7

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $389.14
Potential payout: $560
Potential profit: $170.86
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $16.94

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $14.58
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $535.43
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$14.19

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $108.17
Potential payout: $540.84
Potential profit: $432.67
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$68.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5

Over 99.9% 25 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Over 58% 15 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Over 57% 15 shares
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by June 30?

Yes 38.5% 8.9 shares
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?

Yes 63.5% 376.84 shares
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?

Yes 12.4% 100 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

No 35% 5.26 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Yes 55% 240.91 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5

Over 28% 25 shares
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?

No 26% 25 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 39% 15 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 65% 50 shares