No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $111.88K
- Potential payout
- $119.33K
- Potential profit
- $7.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.46K
Polymarket Trader
wasabi.
0x924c4022200511b76bed3703d2ab5cf29a716db2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $136.27K
- Realized PnL
- $2.65K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $16.29K
- Potential payout
- $18K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $812.38
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $5.36K
- Potential payout
- $5.83K
- Potential profit
- $466.01
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $459.66
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $78.57
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$16.97
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $238.83
- Potential payout
- $524.91
- Potential profit
- $286.08
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $12.83
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $324.96
- Potential payout
- $344.6
- Potential profit
- $19.64
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $287.78
- Potential payout
- $310.61
- Potential profit
- $22.83
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$13.39
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $36.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $163.1
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $25.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $174.3
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $27.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $172.7
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $156
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $120.26
- Potential payout
- $124.68
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $112.1
- Potential payout
- $118.81
- Potential profit
- $6.71
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $92.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $18.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $81.65
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $90.94
- Potential payout
- $95.68
- Potential profit
- $4.74
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $35.4
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Yes position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.43
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.84
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.45
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.45
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.05
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.86
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 58% 34.48 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 29.4% 30.66 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 28.8% 104.25 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 27% 20 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 39% 30 shares
- Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?No 95% 220 shares
- Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?No 94.6% 425 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.9% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 27% 599.98 shares
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No 90% 490 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 22% 200 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 77% 200 shares