Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $763.15
- Potential profit
- $752.84
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$9.7
Polymarket Trader
poloskah
0x9250d82554becf8ffaf0a840ee8c440d2d7ce0fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $456.98
- Realized PnL
- $475.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $395
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $23.06
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $266.95
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $100.65
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $19.28
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.48
Yes position
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 69% 28.99 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Yes 2.6% 763.15 shares
- Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Yes 7% 120 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 70.6% 28.31 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 79% 25.32 shares
- Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes 98.9% 756.3 shares
- Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?Yes 51% 500 shares
- Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?Yes 50% 86.63 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 13?No 90% 22.13 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 13?No 97.5% 20.51 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?Yes 99.7% 23.85 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13?No 98.8% 20.24 shares