Polymarket Trader

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0x9259ca970d89db675e260597bb0e283a0fbcc2d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $534.82
Realized PnL: $859.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $862.41
Potential profit: $862.41
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.73
Potential profit: $154.73
User PnL: -$80.79

Yes position

Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.99
User PnL: -$7.45

Fruhvirtova position

Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Linda Fruhvirtova

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $145
User PnL: -$57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.98
Potential profit: $142.98
User PnL: -$61.48

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $79.3
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $50.7
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $4.2

Anthropic position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $98.4
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $21.6
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $19.95

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $109.5
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $0.49
User PnL: $15.77

Yes position

Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14.1

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $78.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $21.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.9

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $52.99
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $46.99
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$2.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$48.99

Altmaier position

Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$29.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.79
Potential profit: $98.79
User PnL: -$25.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.99
Potential profit: $85.99
User PnL: -$40.42

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$31.2

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $45.59
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $34.41
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$0.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $79.99
User PnL: -$38.4

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $70.54
Potential payout: $71.44
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $10.42

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$22.25

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$14.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Daniil Medvedev position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.48

Bejlek position

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Clara Tauson

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.41

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.55

Ignacio Buse position

Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.28

No position

Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.69

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27

Up position

XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.69

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.1

Clippers position

Rockets vs. Clippers

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.85

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.59

Tiafoe position

Delray Beach Open: Zachary Svajda vs Frances Tiafoe

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.68

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.4

No position

Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.62

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 70% 30 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Yes 78% 15 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Yes 60% 25 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 60% 16 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 73% 30 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Yes 78% 25 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 59% 6 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Yes 55% 25 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?

Yes 87% 20 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

No 58% 13 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 79% 5 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Yes 55% 14.99 shares