Polymarket Trader

varner

0x925f82346b98e2aed736cb89355ef405c7cc93ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.41K
Realized PnL: $32.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $247.35
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: -$602.65

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $204.85
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $645.15

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $247.35
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $602.65

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $204.85
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: -$645.15

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $40.95
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

Alexander Zverev position

Wimbledon ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Deadpool & Wolverine' over $200m opening weekend?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

No position

US bank failure before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

No position

Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Lakers

Ends Jul 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Trump tweet 9-10 times Dec 6-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Trump tweet 20 or more times Dec 6-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Trump tweet 15-19 times Dec 6-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will another company be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Wimbledon ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 86.7% 1.15 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

No 76% 1.32 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

No 90% 3.33 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?

No 87% 3.45 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

No 96% 5.21 shares
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

No 95% 5.26 shares
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?

No 73% 1.37 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?

No 99.3% 223.34 shares
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

No 88.2% 3.4 shares
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

No 96.8% 4.13 shares
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares