No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $62.3
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Polymarket Trader
werg46
0x926157a58d01dd2a71bbee93812154e062338a57
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $151.77
- Realized PnL
- -$65.26
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $47.03
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $7.98
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $42.44
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.68
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$83.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 86% 55 shares
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No 94.3% 44 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.4% 64 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No 97.4% 12 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No 79% 22 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No 78.9% 35 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 45% 213 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No 87.5% 22 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No 94.7% 12 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No 93.2% 35 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 45% 22 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 45% 57 shares