Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $53.72
- Potential payout
- $628.25
- Potential profit
- $574.53
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- $3.46
Polymarket Trader
0x9269...4e93
0x9269e6036e95622774bb1c7d73fb901ed2794e93
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $103.88
- Realized PnL
- $36.81
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $50.16
- Potential payout
- $436.18
- Potential profit
- $386.02
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.77
- Potential profit
- $96.77
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.35
- Potential profit
- $71.35
- User PnL
- -$30.68
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.81
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 11% 436.18 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 628.25 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 43% 71.35 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes 95.8% 65.42 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 8% 25 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 3.1% 96.77 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes 38% 65.42 shares