Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.54K
- Potential profit
- $3.54K
- User PnL
- -$1.31K
Polymarket Trader
thirdapple
0x926c1557d64fb25e41f2ff3334d425001d559f2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.05K
- Realized PnL
- $255.04
- Win rate
- 31.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $618.54
- Potential payout
- $667.97
- Potential profit
- $49.43
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $64.13
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $431.16
- Potential payout
- $535.6
- Potential profit
- $104.44
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$50.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.16
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.13
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.96
No position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.9
No position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.19
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.47
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.41
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Multiplier
- 7.25x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.44
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$32.96
No position
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.34
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.62
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$254.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 535.6 shares
- Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83% 667.97 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89.2% 3,324.77 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Yes 95.9% 376.41 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?No 91% 527.4 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 71.5% 1,185 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.3% 8.3 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.2% 1,186.47 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89.9% 62 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 92.9% 177.8 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 93% 1,007.2 shares
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 94.6% 1,091.41 shares